Updated: 9/2/2004; 6:05:55 PM.
John Robb's Weblog
Thriving on rapid change.
        

Saturday, November 03, 2001

 

Iron Webmaster Showdown

Iron Webmaster show.  Wow.  This is a great idea.  Let's get three teams.  Put it on television (Adam can you help here?).  First team:  Dave and Bryan Bell.  Second Team:  Zeldman and partner.  Third team:  Jakob Nielson and partner. 

We could even add a third person to each team to widen the skill set.  Tools are open.  This could be a very cool Web-TV tie-in.  People could vote, and answer carefully crafted surveys to determine usability.  I could get performance testing from Gomez Networks. 

1/2 hour to build a fully functional site.  1 day of testing by experts (people that run big sites)  and audience members.  Performance testing.  Surveys.  Total cost calculations.  Very cool.

New!  Adam responds to this idea.


6:43:55 PM    Comment_ Trackback []

 

>>>>

CounterPunch.  Green Party rep not allowed to board flight.  Hmmm.  I wonder if this group's members were tagged due to a tie to Earth First! and environmental terrorism.  Since Earth First! is an internal terrorist organization, any tie between the Green Party and funding for Earth First! or associations with their operations would tag them as potential threats to security.  Not a time to be spiking trees or burning down hotels in the name of environmentalism (or for that matter, going after abortion clinics) If you do, you get thrown into the same pit that Osama is in.  What is her personal background?  Does anyone know???

New!  Green Party press release.  Of course, this may be a hoax too.


6:33:28 PM    Comment_ Trackback []

 

>>>>

Evhead.  AOL can insert itself into your browser's trusted zone when you install AIM.  Wow, I checked it and there it is -- AOL is my only trusted site.  This is what monopolies force competitors to do.  Microsoft can update your desktop code without using the browser as a go between.  In fact, as I run XP, I keep getting nags from Microsoft about updating my system.  Who can compete with this?  I don't condon AOL's actions, but if this was an open market with multiple participants, AOL would be in a world of hurt right now.  As it is, they will get away with it.


5:47:32 PM    Comment_ Trackback []

 

>>>>

The New Yorker.   This magazine excels at going behind the story and finding nuggets of fact that put a different spin on the stories in the news.  Seymor Hersh reports on special ops in Afghanistan and the potential of a nuclear war in central asia.  Here is some of the article with my spin attached:

""Nonetheless, in recent weeks an élite Pentagon undercover unit—trained to slip into foreign countries and find suspected nuclear weapons, and disarm them if necessary—has explored plans for an operation inside Pakistan.""  While this is true -- I have run into strange units like this in the past -- a more accurate description may be, "a frustrated supersecret unit, unable to get authorization to be used, has decided to conduct training on a raid of Pakistan's nuclear facilities. ""

According to press reports, Abdul Haq, an Afghan guerrilla leader who was a hero in the war against the Soviets, had been ambushed and executed after a two-day standoff in eastern Afghanistan. Haq was said by the Taliban to have been on a mission for the United States, and to have been carrying large amounts of money—presumably to be used to induce Taliban commanders to defect. An Afghan press report subsequently quoted a Taliban spokesman who said that fifty of Haq's supporters, possibly including "foreigners," had also been surrounded. Haq's death was a major setback to the American anti-Taliban effort and to Pakistan's hopes of forming a broad-based new government in Afghanistan.  True.  American's probably died in that attack.  However, our inability to bring overwhelming force to the location to save Abdule Haq is gross stupidity.  A failure to communicate.  A failure of resolve. We need Microsoft efficiency here not post office efficiency. 

The former State Department official acknowledged that the air attacks thus far had not been a success and added, "What worries me is if, a month from now, bin Laden gets on Al-Jazeera and thumbs his nose at us. It'd be a huge loss of prestige for the United States."  Are we following Al-Jazeera's reporters?  We should be like white on rice with these guys.  If bin Laden goes live, with a satellite hook-up, bombs should rain down on his head within 5 minutes of broadcast.

The American team is apparently getting help from Israel's most successful special-operations unit, the storied Sayeret Matkal, also known as Unit 262, a deep-penetration unit that has been involved in assassinations, the theft of foreign signals-intelligence materials, and the theft and destruction of foreign nuclear weaponry.  Excellent.  The Israeli's always had a better military system than we did.  IF you were excellent you could become a colonel by 30 and a general by 35.  We have a much more structured system that discourages excellence.  They also actively help their best people enter the civilian world when their time is up.  We don't.  In fact, there is a bias against military people in the US.  I have yet to see an American company run as well as most military units, but the bias exists. 

Referring to the air and ground war against bin Laden and the Taliban in Afghanistan, the former high-ranking government official, who has direct knowledge of the situation, said, "The Bush Administration is so focussed on the target and the objective that it's lost its peripheral vision. If Musharraf is toppled in a coup, or fears he'll be toppled, or, as a price for not being toppled, gives the I.S.I. permission to ratchet it up in Kashmir, that's very dangerous."  Pakistan television is replete with propoganda against India to deflect internal attention from the horrible conditions at home.

Pakistani military officials have approached Pentagon officials several times in the past decade in an unsuccessful attempt to get support for an upgrading of Pakistan's nuclear command-and-control mechanisms. Senior military and proliferation officials in the Clinton Administration told me, however, that they had determined that such assistance was barred by the Treaty on the Nonproliferation of Nuclear Weapons, ratified in 1968, which prohibits declared nuclear states from providing any support or guidance to any emerging nuclear power. One former Pentagon official caustically depicted the Clinton Administration's Pakistani command-and-control debate as being similar to the debate over condoms in high schools and needle exchanges: "If you give out condoms, are you condoning teen-age sex? If you give out needles, are you condoning drugs? By helping with command-and-control, are you condoning nuclear weapons?"   I agree.  We should have helped them. 

 


5:34:38 PM    Comment_ Trackback []

 

Microsoft in Twenty Years

One thing that they don't teach you in school is that monopolies are the natural result of free markets left unconstrained.  Competitive markets are an aberration caused by constraints place on the market mechanism by an external agent (the Government).   If left unconstained, a firm with a profitable monopoloy in one market will quickly use that monopolistic power to take over other markets to create new monopolies.   If left alone long enough, a firm could take control of a large segment of the US economy.  

Microsoft is on a growth path that will eventually let it take over the computer industry.  It has leveraged its monopoly in desktop operating systems to take control of desktop productivity software.  Next on the list:

1) Console Game hardware and software.

2) PC hardware and home networking. 

3) Small device hardware and software.

4) Web services. 

This is not the result we want to see.   Corporations and Governments compete.  They are alternative structures of control.  Traditionally, in a democracy, the Government puts constraints on corporations in order limit their power and influence.  By forcing competition in open markets, the US Government keeps corporations too small and too poor to effectively compete with it for control.  In contrast, the fascist system of government actually enables corporations to grow large so that they can provide an alternative means of command and control over subject populations (Albert Speer, in his position as the manager of Germany's corporations, was the second most powerful man in Germany during WW2).  In communism, the government itself is the corporation.

The corporation is organized as a dictatorship.  Freedoms and democracy don't exist in a company.  The goal of a coporation is to become a monopoloy if possible.  This is a situation that allows it to maximize profitability for which it is rewarded in the stock market.  In the past, our democracy has halted the growth of monopolistic corporations by breaking them up or by regulating their profitability.  There isn't a monopoly in the entire US outside of Microsoft's that isn't under severe constraints. 

The fact that the Government has decided not to constrain Microsoft in any meaningful way is not only bad for the computer industry, it will in time be extremely detrimental to our democracy.  In ten years, we are likely to see a corporate behometh emerge that has $100 b in sales with $25 b a year in profit, without acquisition.  In twenty, if left unconstrained, it would exceed $1 t in sales and interest able to throw off $250 b a year in profit (that is a bigger budget than many European nations and nearly equal to the US Government's defense budget). 

IF you think that Microsoft is abusive now wait 20 years.  At that point, we will have an aggressive dictatorship with the budget of a major nation within our borders.  Gives me the chills. 


9:43:37 AM    Comment_ Trackback []

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