Updated: 9/2/2004; 6:35:16 PM.
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Saturday, April 13, 2002

 Alfredo.   All the best hopes and wishes from me and my family.  Courage.  Sincerely, John.
7:55:12 PM    Comment_ Trackback []

 Wired.  Oddpost gets some time in the spotlight.  Cool.
12:23:51 PM    Comment_ Trackback []

 Just a note on the analysis below. This analysis of the war is from the perspective of military theory.  I have not taken sides on this war, nor will I.  I do prefer peace.

A little more thinking on the analysis below.  I think Israel is caught in a bind.  The Type III terrorism will trump a direct Type II response unless there is an ability to halt the support of sponsor states.   That points to another possible method of resolving this conflict, although it isn't a viable one.  Israel could extend it's Type II terrorism to dissuade the sponsor states from backing Palestine through an expression of willingness to use nuclear weapons to stop this war, and specific information on the countries and locations that will be targets.  This is of course, not a real option for a myriad of reasons.


11:54:43 AM    Comment_ Trackback []

 Comments are back on.
11:39:29 AM    Comment_ Trackback []

 The Edge.  Holton, Reflections on Modern Terrorism.  A little long-winded but apropos to what we are currently experiencing.  He proposes that we are currently seeing the emergence of a new type of terrorism (Type III).  Type I is the classic low-tech hijacking or bombing conducted by a small group.  Type II is state sponsored terrorism conducted by the military with high tech weaponry.  Type III is a combination of the two where large groups are slaved to sponsor states to conduct large scale high-tech terrorism.  To a small extent we have seen that with 9/11.  In that situation, Type III terrorists funded and protected by sponsor states utilized the infrastructure of the target state to create havoc.

This may explain the changing situation on the west bank.  The Palestinians have traditionally followed a sporadic and low tech Type I model of terrorism.  Israel reciprocated with Type II terrorism.  Funding, planning, and organization over the last several years has allowed the Palestinians to cross en masse over into Type III terrorism, where the scale, quality of weapons, and frequency of terrorist attacks have radically increased.  Given this change, Israel's reliance on a Type II terrorist response may be inadequate. 

Why?  Three reasons:

1) The source of the funding and technology enabling the Palestinian Type III terrorists is external to theater of war and therefore left untouched by Israel's actions.

2) Israel's Type II response, while effective earlier against small groups of independent actors (Type I terrorists) is ineffective against a disenfranchised population slaved to a Type III system.  The target is too large, and short killing them all, they will continue to act.  Additionally, sporadic Type II action will only solidify the Type III terrorist system by widening its support.

3) The quality of the technology provided Type III terrorists will continue to improve and may result in a catastrophic event.  Israel's actions clearly are increasing the willingness of sponsor states to supply weapons of mass destruction to the Palestinian terrorist organization.

The only solution: Israel should quickly pull out of all occupied territories.  A multi-national peacekeeping force, led by the US should establish a protectorate on the west bank.  US pressure could then force sponsor states to relinquish support for the Palestinian terror network.  Israel's security would be established.  It is only then that a Palestinian middle class could emerge to act as a moderating influence. 

Shorn of its external support and challenged by a competitive social movement, the Palestinian Type III network would dissolve.  The alternative is to continue with the current framework of continuous Type II vs. Type III violence until the introduction of new technology enables one or more catastrophic mass deaths occur.


10:06:30 AM    Comment_ Trackback []

 The Economist.  Sun puts bets on JXTA.

>>>The community aspect of Juxta (phonetic spelling) has turned out to be more complicated than expected. Unlike a corporate group of software developers, CollabNet brings together a ragtag assortment of crack programmers who volunteer their services for the prestige and personal satisfaction. That makes the effort inherently political and far slower than a commercial one. “Grassroots movements aren't easy to organise,” says Mr Joy. Working together has been a sobering experience for both sides.<<<
8:49:01 AM    Comment_ Trackback []


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