Updated: 9/3/2004; 9:26:40 AM.
John Robb's Weblog
Thriving on rapid change.
        

Tuesday, October 07, 2003

 Everytime I look at a photo like this, I see people people that are yearning to connect but find it difficult.  Everyone looks isolated and about to dive into their computers.
9:39:57 PM    Comment_ Trackback []

 Ok.  Two clarifications.  Daniel Von Fange (a smart guy) pointed out two potential exceptions to the rule (see below).  The Huk in the Philipines and the Brits in Malaysia.  The Philippines handled their problem internally (with US funding) and the Brits handled an insurrection by a Chinese minority within the country (while at the same time telling the population that they would remove themselves once the conflict was done).  Both were unusual exceptions. 
8:48:10 PM    Comment_ Trackback []

 LOL.  Nobody owns "George Bush"
7:36:29 PM    Comment_ Trackback []

 LOL.  The Clark campaign bought an ad on the "Dean" Google result (I bought the first ad on the term "weblog").  Short dollars.  I suggested this earlier to the Dean campaign.
7:35:30 PM    Comment_ Trackback []

 3/5s of the world still operates based on non-trinitarian warfare.  Trinitarian warfare is the idea that war is between states, prosecuted by professional militaries, with the people off-limits.  Non-trinitarian warfare is based on the concept that the people are the military and the state.  War is total and absolute.  There are no divisions.

The problem is that non-trinitarian warfare is the ascendent method.  It can be prosecuted with success against conventional militaries with little technology, money, or organization.  It can win against what would seem to be overwhelming force.  

With 9/11, the non-trinitarian world learned that it is possible to project its type of warfare to the developed world.  After the impending humiliation in Iraq, what will happen?
7:28:59 PM    Comment_ Trackback []


 LOL.  Perseus Research analyzed 3k weblogs and concluded most were run by teenage girls.  Problem is that it is virtually impossible for this conclusion to be reached given that UserLand and MT provide software (that can run on any URL/hosting solution) and Blogger can FTP weblogs to any locale.  None of these popular solutions provide centralized stats on usage let alone the significant number of Intranet implementations.  The only large services that centrally track their members is LiveJournal and its clones (their weblogs are composed mainly of teenage girls, which they provide stats on -- this is not a dig, but a fact).  Nothing lies like statistics, but publishing bogus numbers on a hot topic like this will certainly get them press.
7:04:41 PM    Comment_ Trackback []

 Stories like this from the AP demonstrate beyond a doubt that we are in a full scale LIC (low intensity conflict).  The seriousness of this goes beyond Vietnam analogies.  The fact is that no major conventional power has ever won a LIC in the last 50 years.  Period.  We will lose if we stay (and humiliated if we stay or withdraw).  This fore drawn conclusion is due to a variety of complex factors, but the result is that we are likely already outmatched (even by this rabble).  Any ideas on exit strategies? 
5:35:31 PM    Comment_ Trackback []

 The Economist.  New attacks on tankers in SE Asia points to a new pervasive form of terrorism. 
8:11:18 AM    Comment_ Trackback []

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