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Thursday, January 29, 2004 |
 Question based on Dave's Berkman meeting: is there an Internet party (not liberal, not centrist, but something different)?
8:58:05 PM 
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NPR On Point. Kevin Phillips is really depressing. His new book on the Bush dynasty is very, very disturbing.
8:42:42 PM
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Fortune. The Pentagon is doing some analysis on the impact of a rapid onset mini ice age on global security. BTW, Boston's average temp in January was the lowest in 118 years. Also, the lag on getting and analyzing data on the breakdown of the Gulf Stream is measured in years (which is unsettling given that this event could occur in less than a decade).
5:24:05 PM
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Wow. The pile on top of the Dean campaign is getting really harsh (particularly in regards to the campaign's finances). Nothing is worse than a group of true believers who find out that their leader(s) are human after all.
2:41:56 PM
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What is the scope of the offshoring problem?
Here an article in the McKinsey Quarterly (via Forbes): By McKinsey estimates, in 2002 it was worth $32 billion to $35 billion--just 1% of the $3 trillion worth of business functions that could be performed remotely. Because of the significant benefits already being realized through offshoring, the market is projected to grow by 30% to 40% percent annually over the next five years. This prospect may cause consternation over job losses in the United States but it will make offshoring an industry with well over $100 billion in annual revenue by 2008.
What is $100 b of offshored services worth in terms of jobs? First, an offshored service costs ~50% of the service produced in the US (on average). Since this is basically a pure salary play (infrastructure is minimal), these estimates mean that 2 m ($100k) information workers will be offshored by 2008. Also, given these jobs usually produce upwards of ~4 additional jobs per position (community impact), this is a net loss of 10 m jobs by 2008.
1:37:35 PM
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Cringely whacks offshoring. No solutions listed though.
11:08:49 AM
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The Atlantic. Jack Beatty. Terminal Senatitis. Over two days I saw John Edwards and John Kerry speak at Dartmouth College. Edwards exhilarated my wife and me and the rest of the audience. We left the Kerry event before it ended and would have gone earlier if we had not hooked a ride with a more-patient friend—for we were bored, disappointed, and angry... How, we wondered aloud driving home, could a man in public life for decades, running for President for more than a year, not do better than this?
NOTE: I get the same feeling from Kerry that I got from Gore. Both spent so much time running for president that they forgot why they ran in the first place. Passion for the job is replaced by rote response. At the least, Dean and Edwards have the requisite passion for the job.
9:30:15 AM
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MyDoom hits 1 in every 12 e-mails. Wow.
7:58:44 AM
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Someone just sent me a rumor that Vignette, a large CMS company, is going to offshore 60% of its development. I don't know if it's true or not. I couldn't find any reference to it in Google.
7:51:19 AM
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© Copyright 2004 John Robb.
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