Updated: 9/3/2004; 9:46:22 AM.
John Robb's Weblog
Thriving on rapid change.
        

Tuesday, May 18, 2004

 The cumulative gross of Passion of the Christ vs. other blockbusters.  As I said well before it was released: love it or hate it, the marketing was brilliant.
6:59:08 PM    Comment_ Trackback []

 LOL.  Like Hersh, I wrote a "Gray Zone" post too, back in January.

The US military is still talking about Baathist holdouts as the problem in Iraq.  I see something different:  a civil war in the making.  Lots of old scores to settle.  Lots of money (read Oil) and power at stake.  Years of repression to redress.

There are so many fault lines in Iraq that it will be impossible for the US to differentiate between friends from enemies.  This is a gray zone.  It is something that the US military (and our leadership) has historically had severe problems with.  In the gray-zone of Iraq, good and evil are terms that get you into trouble.


5:00:13 PM    Comment_ Trackback []

 Matt Kelley at the AP dug up the number I have been looking for.  He found that only 25,000 Iraqis are employed in the US sponsored reconstruction efforts.  Wow.
4:54:17 PM    Comment_ Trackback []

 SFGate.  Forrester updates their offshoring estimates for 2006 by 40%.  The method they use to depict this trend is flawed.  They are using graphs that depict cumulative job losses rather than how many jobs will off-shored in that year.

Marc Andreessen e-mailed an addition to this analysis (this demonstrates the mercurial nature of jobs and why cumulative stats like Forrester's are nonsense):

In the last 10 years, about 325 million were destroyed and 343 million created, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, which makes perfect sense because the US population added about 18 million employable people.
10:53:32 AM    Comment_ Trackback []


 CIO.  Michael Schrage awakes to find weblogs in corporations.  I think he needs to do a search for previous thinking on the topic.  However, it's better late than never.
10:14:41 AM    Comment_ Trackback []

 This UPI article is so true.  It's over Rummy.   

Even worse for Rumsfeld and his coterie of neo-conservative true believers who have run the Pentagon for the past 3½ years, three major institutions in the Washington power structure have decided that after almost a full presidential term of being treated with contempt and abuse by them, it's payback time.

Those three institutions are: The United States Army, the Central Intelligence Agency and the old, relatively moderate but highly experienced Republican leadership in the United States Senate.

None of those groups is chopped liver: Taken together they comprise a devastating Grand Slam.

One thing that needs to be relearned, again and again, is that you can push a modern bureaucracy only so far before it kicks you in the ass (an emergent property of bureaucracy is to resist radical changes in direction).
9:34:24 AM    Comment_ Trackback []


 WP.  "There's no question: A small band of people can paralyze the country," said Mahmoud Othman, an independent Kurdish member of the (Iraqi) council.
8:39:22 AM    Comment_ Trackback []

 Design Flaws:  Methods of attacking critical infrastructure.  A good way to unearth the vulnerabilities of a complex system/network is to list the planning assumptions made by the designers.  As with all posts to Global Guerrillas, this isn't final work product but rather rough drafts of ideas that I find interesting.
8:19:08 AM    Comment_ Trackback []

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