Updated: 2/2/2005; 7:53:20 AM.
John Robb's Weblog
Skating to where the puck will be.
        

Wednesday, January 05, 2005

 This afternoon, a reader of mine asked me if I had read Edward Luttwak.  I had.  I particularly liked his, "Coup D'Etat   A Practical Handbook."  Without revisiting it, I can pull one lesson from the book that is relevant to global guerrillas.  He points out in the book that colonial administrations and the states they spawned were extremely mechanistic.  They were built from the top down.  This made them vulnerable to coups, since the state's apparatus was not decentralized or complex enough to reject seizure by determined cabal.  I surmise this extreme centralization would also make them extremely vulnerable to a decentralized insurgency. 
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 14 Russian soldiers die in two days of fighting in Chechnya.
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 Lind does some historical channeling.
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 CSM.  Mission creep in Afghanistan.  The fear:  the military will stir up an insurgency when it is ordered to interdict opium production. 
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 WSJ.  Saudi Arabia invites Indian companies to bid on exploration and refinery projects.  The center of gravity is shifting (Russia, the world's #2 producer, recently invited China to invest in Yukos).
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 THE RESOLUTION GAP...  The PC industry is driving home theater displays in one direction and the consumer electronics industry another.  Which one makes sense to you?
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 PRIMARY LOYALTIES.  Global guerrillas draw on ancient roots for moral cohesion. 
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© Copyright 2005 John Robb.
 
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